Staff Profiles

Dr Paul Nolan

B.Sc, M.Sc., Ph.D

Biography

Dr Paul Nolan
Climate Scientist
Irish Centre for High-End Computing (ICHEC), NUIG

Education
PhD, University College Dublin 2009;
M.Sc. High Performance Computing, Trinity College Dublin 2003;
M.Sc. Mathematics, NUIM 2001;
B.Sc. Mathematics, NUIG 2000;

Research Interests

Using Regional Climate Models to downscale global climate data in order to assess the impact of
climate change on the future climate of Ireland.

Developing, testing and running global climate models (EC-Earth) in preparation for the upcoming CMIP6 project and the resulting IPCC AR6 reports.

Projects:

2015 EPA Post Doc (2 years), "EC-Earth Climate Simulations - Ireland’s Contributions to CMIP6"

2015 EPA Post Doc (2 years), "High-Resolution Climate Projections for Ireland. A Multi-Model Ensemble Approach"

2014 Enterprise Ireland (3 months), "High Resolution Wind Forecasts for Ireland. (in partnership with Bord na Móna)"

2012 EPA Research Project (1 year), "High Resolution Ensemble Regional Climate Simulations."

2009 EPA Post Doc (3 years), "Regional Climate Ensemble Simulations for Ireland – the impact of climate change on coastal and river flooding"

Peer Reviewed Journals

	Year	Publication
	(2020)	'A GIS-based framework for high-level climate change risk assessment of critical infrastructure' Hawchar, L;Naughton, O;Nolan, P;Stewart, MG;Ryan, PC (2020) 'A GIS-based framework for high-level climate change risk assessment of critical infrastructure'. Climate Risk Management, 29 [DOI] [Details]
	(2018)	'A land use regression model for explaining spatial variation in air pollution levels using a wind sector based approach' Naughton, O,Donnelly, A,Nolan, P,Pilla, F,Misstear, BD,Broderick, B (2018) 'A land use regression model for explaining spatial variation in air pollution levels using a wind sector based approach'. Science Of The Total Environment, 630 :1324-1334 [DOI] [Details]
	(2015)	'A high-resolution, multi-model analysis of Irish temperatures for the mid-21st century' O'Sullivan, John and Sweeney, Conor and Nolan, Paul and Gleeson, Emily (2015) 'A high-resolution, multi-model analysis of Irish temperatures for the mid-21st century'. International Journal of Climatology, [Details]
	(2014)	'Assessing the combined use of reduced tillage and cover crops for mitigating greenhouse gas emissions from arable ecosystem' Abdalla, M and Hastings, A and Helmy, M and Prescher, A and Osborne, B and Lanigan, G and Forristal, D and Killi, D and Maratha, P and Williams, M and others (2014) 'Assessing the combined use of reduced tillage and cover crops for mitigating greenhouse gas emissions from arable ecosystem'. Geoderma, 223 :9-20 [Details]
	(2014)	'Simulating the future wind energy resource of Ireland using the COSMO-CLM model' Nolan, Paul and Lynch, Peter and Sweeney, Conor (2014) 'Simulating the future wind energy resource of Ireland using the COSMO-CLM model'. Wind Energy, 17 (1):19-37 [Details]
	(2013)	'Reducing errors of wind speed forecasts by an optimal combination of post-processing methods' Sweeney, Conor P and Lynch, Peter and Nolan, Paul (2013) 'Reducing errors of wind speed forecasts by an optimal combination of post-processing methods'. Meteorological Applications, 20 (1):32-40 [Details]
	(2012)	'How Effective is Reduced Tillage--Cover Crop Management in Reducing N2O Fluxes from Arable Crop Soils?' Abdalla, M and Rueangritsarakul, K and Jones, M and Osborne, B and Helmy, M and Roth, B and Burke, J and Nolan, P and Smith, P and Williams, M (2012) 'How Effective is Reduced Tillage--Cover Crop Management in Reducing N2O Fluxes from Arable Crop Soils?'. Water, Air, \& Soil Pollution, 223 (8):5155-5174 [Details]
	(2012)	'Simulating climate change and its effects on the wind energy resource of Ireland' Nolan, Paul and Lynch, Peter and McGrath, Ray and Semmler, Tido and Wang, Shiyu (2012) 'Simulating climate change and its effects on the wind energy resource of Ireland'. Wind Energy, 15 (4):593-608 [Details]
	(2011)	'Air flow and stability indices in GCM future and control runs' Hanafin, JA;McGrath, R;Semmler, T;Wang, S;Lynch, P;Steele-Dunne, S;Nolan, P (2011) 'Air flow and stability indices in GCM future and control runs'. International Journal Of Climatology, 31 :1240-1247 [DOI] [Details]
	(2011)	'Air flow and stability indices in GCM future and control runs' Hanafin, JA and McGrath, R and Semmler, T and Wang, S and Lynch, P and Steele-Dunne, S and Nolan, P (2011) 'Air flow and stability indices in GCM future and control runs'. International Journal of Climatology, 31 (8):1240-1247 [Details]
	(2010)	'Influence of climate change on heating and cooling energy demand in Ireland' Semmler, Tido and McGrath, Ray and Steele-Dunne, Susan and Hanafin, Jenny and Nolan, Paul and Wang, Shiyu (2010) 'Influence of climate change on heating and cooling energy demand in Ireland'. International Journal of Climatology, 30 (10):1502-1511 [Details]
	(2008)	'Regional climate model simulations of North Atlantic cyclones: frequency and intensity changes' Semmler, T;Varghese, S;McGrath, R;Nolan, P;Wang, SY;Lynch, P;O'Dowd, C (2008) 'Regional climate model simulations of North Atlantic cyclones: frequency and intensity changes'. Climate Research, 36 :1-16 [DOI] [Details]
	(2008)	'Regional model simulation of North Atlantic cyclones: present climate and idealized response to increased sea surface temperature' Semmler, Tido and Varghese, Saji and McGrath, Ray and Nolan, Paul and Wang, Shiyu and Lynch, Peter and O'Dowd, Colin (2008) 'Regional model simulation of North Atlantic cyclones: present climate and idealized response to increased sea surface temperature'. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 113 (D2) [Details]
	(2008)	'Regional climate model simulations of North Atlantic cyclones: frequency and intensity changes' Semmler, Tido and Varghese, Saji and McGrath, Ray and Nolan, Paul and Wang, Shiyu and Lynch, Peter and O'Dowd, Colin (2008) 'Regional climate model simulations of North Atlantic cyclones: frequency and intensity changes'. Climate Research, 36 (1):1-16 [Details]
	(2008)	'The impact of climate change on storm surges over Irish waters' Wang, Shiyu and McGrath, Ray and Hanafin, Jenny and Lynch, Peter and Semmler, Tido and Nolan, Paul (2008) 'The impact of climate change on storm surges over Irish waters'. Ocean Modelling, 25 (1):83-94 [Details]
	(2008)	'The impacts of climate change on hydrology in Ireland' Steele-Dunne, Susan and Lynch, Peter and McGrath, Ray and Semmler, Tido and Wang, Shiyu and Hanafin, Jenny and Nolan, Paul (2008) 'The impacts of climate change on hydrology in Ireland'. Journal of Hydrology, 356 (1):28-45 [Details]
	(2008)	'Regional model simulation of North Atlantic cyclones: Present climate and idealized response to increased sea surface temperature' Semmler, T;Varghese, S;McGrath, R;Nolan, P;Wang, SY;Lynch, P;O'Dowd, C (2008) 'Regional model simulation of North Atlantic cyclones: Present climate and idealized response to increased sea surface temperature'. Journal Of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 113 [DOI] [Details]
	(2006)	'The impact of the climate change on discharge of Suir River Catchment (Ireland) under different climate scenarios' Wang, S and McGrath, R and Semmler, T and Sweeney, C and Nolan, P (2006) 'The impact of the climate change on discharge of Suir River Catchment (Ireland) under different climate scenarios'. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 6 (3):387-395 [Details]

Conference Publications

	Year	Publication
	(2019)	*Towards a definitive historical high-resolution climate dataset for Ireland - promoting climate research in Ireland* Flanagan, J,Nolan, P,McGrath, R,Werner, C (2019) ADVANCES IN SCIENCE AND RESEARCH Towards a definitive historical high-resolution climate dataset for Ireland - promoting climate research in Ireland , pp.263-276 [DOI] [Details]

Published Reports

	Year	Publication
	(2020)	EC-Earth Global Climate Simulations: Ireland’s Contributions to CMIP6. Paul Nolan, Alastair McKinstry (2020) EC-Earth Global Climate Simulations: Ireland’s Contributions to CMIP6. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Ireland. [ARAN Link] [Details]
	(2019)	High-resolution Gridded Datasets of Hydro-climate Indices for Ireland; Research Report 267. Christopher Werner, Paul Nolan and Owen Naughton (2019) High-resolution Gridded Datasets of Hydro-climate Indices for Ireland; Research Report 267. EPA, Ireland. [ARAN Link] [Details]
	(2015)	Ensemble of regional climate model projections for Ireland. Nolan P. (2015) Ensemble of regional climate model projections for Ireland. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Dublin. [ARAN Link] [Details]
	(2013)	Ireland's climate: the road ahead. Amelia Caffarra, Mary Coleman, Frederic Dias, Hank Dijkstra, Alison Donnelly,Sybren Drijfhout, Ned Dwyer, Sarah Gallagher, Jeremy Gault, Emily Gleeson,Patrick Goodman, Stefan Gray, Valerie Livina, Damien Martin, Ray McGrath,Alastair McKinstry, Conor Murphy, Paul Nolan, Colin O’Dowd, Barry O’Dwyer,John O’Sullivan, Eugenie Regan, Tido Semmler, Conor Sweeney, Roxana Tiron,Séamus Walsh, Fabio Zottele. (2013) Ireland's climate: the road ahead. Met Éireann, Dublin. [Details]
	(2008)	Ireland in a warmer world; scientific predictions of the Irish climate in the twenty-first century. Ray McGrath, Peter Lynch, SC Steele-Dunne, JA Hanafin, Elisa Nishimura, Paul Nolan, J Venkata Ratman, Tido Semmler, Conor Sweeney, Shiyu Wang (2008) Ireland in a warmer world; scientific predictions of the Irish climate in the twenty-first century. Met Eireann, Dublin. [Details]
	(2005)	Climate change: Regional climate model predictions for Ireland. Ray McGrath, Elisa Nishimura, Paul Nolan, Tido Semmler, Conor Sweeney, Shiyu Wang (2005) Climate change: Regional climate model predictions for Ireland. Met Eireann / Environmental Protection Agency, Dublin. [Details]